Modelling the Relationship between the Food System and Health, Development, and the Environment

The aim of this project is to develop the first integrated model of environmental sustainability, health and economic development.

Such a model will allow for in-depth exploration of food production and trade scenarios.

Global food systems are highly complex. They are both influenced by and have an influence on health, economic development and the environment. They will face considerable strain over the coming decades as income growth, urbanisation and globalisation lead to shifts towards Western dietary patterns (e.g. high in meat and processed foods) across the developing world.

Under these conditions, the challenge is to find a sustainable method to feed the world’s increasing population, whilst considering the trade-offs and synergies between health, environmental sustainability and economic development.

This project aims to develop the first integrated model of environmental sustainability, health and economic development. Two major recent publications have modelled the impact of climate change on food production and the impact of plant-based diets on health and greenhouse gas emissions.

This project is led by Dr Peter Scarborough, from the Nuffield Department of Population Health, and is a collaboration with the Environmental Change Institute and the Department of International Development.


Sub-Project: Web-Based PRIME Model